{"id":6696,"date":"2020-09-01T18:23:09","date_gmt":"2020-09-01T16:23:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?p=6696"},"modified":"2020-09-02T09:43:45","modified_gmt":"2020-09-02T07:43:45","slug":"climat-les-modeles-restent-ce-quils-sont-invalides","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?p=6696","title":{"rendered":"Climat\u00a0: les mod\u00e8les restent ce qu\u2019ils sont, invalides"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Dans le chapitre \u00ab&nbsp;une \u00e9tude vient d\u2019\u00eatre publi\u00e9e qui\u2026&nbsp;\u00bb il y en a deux qui ne feront pas la une des m\u00e9dias \u00e0 sensation et qui s\u2019exposent \u00e0 de graves critiques par les hi\u00e9rarques climatiques. Elles sont d\u00e9di\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9valuation des mod\u00e8les climatiques qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 raffin\u00e9s une fois de plus afin d\u2019\u00eatre comment\u00e9s et utilis\u00e9s dans le sixi\u00e8me rapport d&rsquo;\u00e9valuation (AR6) du GIEC attendu en 2022. Les deux \u00e9tudes corroborent&nbsp;; elles concluent sans d\u00e9tour que la sixi\u00e8me g\u00e9n\u00e9ration de mod\u00e8les CMIP6 (<em>Coupled Model Intercomparison Project<\/em>) ne s\u2019est pas d\u00e9partie des g\u00e8nes de surchauffe d\u00e9j\u00e0 constat\u00e9s dans les g\u00e9n\u00e9rations ant\u00e9rieures.<br>     <\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>Cet article se doit d\u2019\u00eatre un peu technique, n\u2019en d\u00e9plaise aux lecteurs pr\u00e9f\u00e9rant ne pas avoir \u00e0 se coltiner les concepts sous-jacents. Sauter aux conclusions est tout \u00e0 fait possible, mais suppose donc que cr\u00e9dit ind\u00e9fectible soit accord\u00e9 \u00e0 ce qui est relat\u00e9 ici.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>En r\u00e9f\u00e9rence : <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?page_id=6671\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?page_id=6671\" target=\"_blank\">ma position \u00e0 propos du climat<\/a><br>ainsi que l&rsquo;<a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?p=4291\" data-type=\"URL\" data-id=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?p=4291\" target=\"_blank\">article publi\u00e9 \u00e0 ce sujet en 2017<\/a>.<br>  <br><br> <br>   <\/p>\n\n\n\n\t\t<div class=\"wppdfemb-frame-container-1\" style=\"-webkit-overflow-scrolling:auto;\">\n\t\t\t<iframe class=\"pdfembed-iframe nonfullscreen wppdf-emb-iframe-1\"\n\t\t\t\tsrc=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?pdfemb-data=eyJwZGZJRCI6NjY5Nywid2lkdGgiOiI3MzYiLCJoZWlnaHQiOiIxMDQxIiwidG9vbGJhciI6ImJvdGgiLCJ0b29sYmFyZml4ZWQiOiJvbiIsImluZGV4IjoxLCJwZGZlbWItc2VydmV1cmwiOiJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRmJsb2cubXItaW50LmNoJTJGd3AtY29udGVudCUyRnVwbG9hZHMlMkZzZWN1cmVwZGZzJTJGMjAyMCUyRjA5JTJGY29tcGFyYWlzb24tbW9kZWxlcy1vYnNlcnZhdGlvbnMtY2xpbWF0aXF1ZXMucGRmIiwid21fdGV4dCI6IiJ9\"\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\tdata-pdf-id=\"6697\"\n\t\t\t\tdata-pdf-index=\"1\"\n\t\t\t\tstyle=\"border:none;width:100%;max-width:736px;height:1041px;\"\n\t\t\t\tscrolling=\"yes\">\n\t\t\t<\/iframe>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\n\t\t\n<p class=\"wp-block-pdfemb-pdf-embedder-viewer\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Dans le chapitre \u00ab&nbsp;une \u00e9tude vient d\u2019\u00eatre publi\u00e9e qui\u2026&nbsp;\u00bb il y en a deux qui ne feront pas la une des m\u00e9dias \u00e0 sensation et qui s\u2019exposent \u00e0 de graves critiques par les hi\u00e9rarques climatiques. Elles sont d\u00e9di\u00e9es \u00e0 l\u2019\u00e9valuation des mod\u00e8les climatiques qui ont \u00e9t\u00e9 raffin\u00e9s une fois de plus afin d\u2019\u00eatre comment\u00e9s et &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?p=6696\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \u00ab\u00a0Climat\u00a0: les mod\u00e8les restent ce qu\u2019ils sont, invalides\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6688,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"iawp_total_views":13,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[38,12],"tags":[264,262,263],"class_list":["post-6696","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-climat","category-politics-fr","tag-modele-invalide","tag-modeles-climatiques","tag-observations-climatiques"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6696","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6696"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6696\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/6688"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6696"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6696"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6696"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}