{"id":8076,"date":"2021-09-11T09:31:59","date_gmt":"2021-09-11T07:31:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?page_id=8076"},"modified":"2025-01-08T19:36:07","modified_gmt":"2025-01-08T18:36:07","slug":"temperatures","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?page_id=8076","title":{"rendered":"Temp\u00e9ratures"},"content":{"rendered":"\n    \n    <section class=\"u-align-center u-clearfix u-container-align-center u-image u-shading u-section-2\" src=\"\" id=\"sec-66c2\" data-image-width=\"1080\" data-image-height=\"810\" style=\"background-image: linear-gradient(0deg, rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4), rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.4)), url(&quot;https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/08\/perito-moreno-1080.jpg&quot;);\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-sheet-1\">\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <h1 class=\"u-text u-text-default u-text-palette-1-light-3 u-title u-text-1\">\u00c9tat des anomalies&nbsp;<br>globales de temp\u00e9rature\n        <\/h1>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-clearfix u-section-3\" id=\"sec-4eda\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-sheet-1\">\n        <p class=\"u-text u-text-1\">S\u00e9rie de donn\u00e9es mesur\u00e9es indirectement par satellite par la NASA&nbsp;et interpr\u00e9t\u00e9es mensuellement par l'Universit\u00e9 d'Alabama \u00e0 Huntsville et la Japanese Met Agency (JRA-55 Reanalysis).<br>L'avantage de s\u00e9ries mesur\u00e9es par satellite est que les \u00e9valuations sont globales et que, en appliquant une m\u00e9thode constante, les tendances&nbsp;sont comparables, sans questionnement de la qualit\u00e9 des mesures effectu\u00e9es au sol et sur les mers. En 2024, une correction a \u00e9t\u00e9 apport\u00e9e \u00e0 'la s\u00e9rie de&nbsp; donn\u00e9es  (version 6.1) parce que la position des satellite d\u00e9rive lentement. Les valeurs depuis 2011 sont t\u00e9g\u00e8ement plus basses que celle de la version ant\u00e9rieure.\n        <\/p>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-clearfix u-section-4\" id=\"sec-9951\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-valign-middle u-sheet-1\">\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"u-expanded-width u-image u-image-contain u-image-default u-preserve-proportions u-image-1\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/temperatures-UAH_1.svg\" alt=\"\" data-image-width=\"100\" data-image-height=\"100\">\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-clearfix u-section-5\" id=\"sec-f5cf\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-valign-middle u-sheet-1\">\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"u-expanded-width u-image u-image-default u-image-1\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/07\/temperatures-UAH_2.svg\" alt=\"\" data-image-width=\"100\" data-image-height=\"100\">\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-clearfix u-section-6\" id=\"sec-1bd4\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-sheet-1\">\n        <h2 class=\"u-text u-text-default u-text-1\">Glace de mer arctique<\/h2>\n        <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"u-image u-image-default u-image-1\" src=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/04\/temperatures-UAH_3.svg\" alt=\"\" data-image-width=\"100\" data-image-height=\"100\">\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-clearfix u-section-7\" id=\"sec-8807\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-sheet-1\">\n        <p class=\"u-text u-text-1\">\u00c0 remarquer :<\/p>\n        <ul class=\"u-text u-text-2\">\n          <li style=\"\">L'ann\u00e9e 2024 reste \u00e0 un haut niveau de temp\u00e9rature, avec le ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne du Ni\u00f1o qui a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en 2023 est qui est maintenant pass\u00e9, suivant ceux de 1997 et 2015. Le baisses de temp\u00e9ratures ont une allure similaire.<br>C'est en partie pourquoi il n'est pas correct d'expliquer par le changement climatique anthropique les \u00e9v\u00e9nements m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques qui se sont d\u00e9roul\u00e9s au cours de 2024. <br>Pr\u00e9tendre que c'est le cas parce que les calculs de scenarios anticipent une plus grande variabilit\u00e9 d'extr\u00eames dans le futur (2050-2100) est une interpr\u00e9tation facile car inv\u00e9rifiable.\n          <\/li>\n          <li>Vitesses de r\u00e9chauffement moyennes :<br>Depuis 1979 (Diagramme A) : 1.51 \u00b0C\/100a.<br>Depuis 1998 (Diagramme A) : 1,30 \u00b0C\/100a.&nbsp;<br>Depuis 1959 (Diagramme G) : 1,50 \u00b0C\/100a.<br>En 2022&nbsp; (Diagramme H): l\u00e9ger refroidissement.<br>En 2023 (Diagrammes&nbsp; G et H) : 17 \u00b0C\/100a !!! <br>Rien d'autre que le Ni\u00f1o ne peut expliquer cela. \n          <\/li>\n          <li>Diagramme F : Index multivariable du Ni\u00f1o qui combine&nbsp;la pression au niveau de la mer (SLP), la temp\u00e9rature de surface de la mer (SST), les vents \u00e0 la surface et le rayonnement infragouge \u00e9mis dans le bassin du Pacifique tropical. Valeurs mensuelles et liss\u00e9es sur 13 mois et 7 ans. <br>L'ampleur du nouveau Ni\u00f1o semble avoir pass\u00e9 par son maximum. Le d\u00e9but est similaire aux pr\u00e9c\u00e9dents. Mais le niveua \"d'atterrissage\" de la temp\u00e9rature globale n'est pas pr\u00e9visible.&nbsp;<br>Certaines publication lient aussi cela avec l'\u00e9ruption&nbsp;du Hunga Tonga en d\u00e9cembre 2021.\n          <\/li>\n          <li>Rappeons que les alternances Ni\u00f1o-Ni\u00f1a et les oscillations multi-d\u00e9cennales de la temp\u00e9rature \u00e0 la surface des oc\u00e9ans ne se d\u00e9roulent pas au rythme du climat. <br>Il s'agit l\u00e0 de variations m\u00e9t\u00e9orologiques qui compliquent le travail des climatologues.&nbsp;&nbsp;\n          <\/li>\n          <li> Pendant les p\u00e9riodes inter-ni\u00f1os, il est difficile de d\u00e9tecter un r\u00e9chauffement, bien que cela se produise \u00e0 des diff\u00e9rences de l'ordre de 0,1 \u00e0 0,2 \u2103.<\/li>\n          <li>Si un r\u00e9chauffement a bien lieu dans la troposph\u00e8re, il est accompagn\u00e9 d'un refroidissement dans la stratosph\u00e8re, qui cependant vient de prendre une tendance positive.&nbsp; Voir le diagramme C.<\/li>\n        <\/ul>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n        <editor-squiggler style=\"height: 0px; width: 0px;\">\n          <style> @media print {\n    .ms-editor-squiggler {\n        display:none !important;\n    }\n  }\n  .ms-editor-squiggler {\n    all: initial;\n    display: block !important;\n    height: 0px !important;\n    width: 0px !important;\n  }<\/style>\n          <div class=\"ms-editor-squiggler\"><\/div>\n        <\/editor-squiggler>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    <section class=\"u-align-center u-clearfix u-container-align-center u-section-8\" id=\"sec-a6a0\">\n      <div class=\"u-clearfix u-sheet u-valign-middle u-sheet-1\">\n        <h2 class=\"u-text u-text-default u-text-1\">\n          <span style=\"font-size: 1.875rem;\">Pour des d\u00e9tails, les demander \u00e0 :&nbsp;<\/span>\n          <a href=\"mailto:contact@mr-int.ch?subject=D\u00e9tails sur les anomalies de temp\u00e9rature UAH\" class=\"u-active-none u-border-none u-btn u-button-link u-button-style u-hover-none u-none u-text-palette-1-base u-btn-1\">contact@mr-int.ch<\/a>\n        <\/h2>\n      <\/div>\n    <\/section>\n    \n    \n    \n  \n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c9tat des anomalies&nbsp;globales de temp\u00e9rature S\u00e9rie de donn\u00e9es mesur\u00e9es indirectement par satellite par la NASA&nbsp;et interpr\u00e9t\u00e9es mensuellement par l&rsquo;Universit\u00e9 d&rsquo;Alabama \u00e0 Huntsville et la Japanese Met Agency (JRA-55 Reanalysis).L&rsquo;avantage de s\u00e9ries mesur\u00e9es par satellite est que les \u00e9valuations sont globales et que, en appliquant une m\u00e9thode constante, les tendances&nbsp;sont comparables, sans questionnement de la qualit\u00e9 &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/?page_id=8076\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> \u00ab\u00a0Temp\u00e9ratures\u00a0\u00bb<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"iawp_total_views":17,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"class_list":["post-8076","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8076","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8076"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/8076\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.mr-int.ch\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}